Obama hit it, somewhat anyway

Obama has the problem, in Washington, defined perfectly as he gave his victory speech after wining the Democrat Iowa Caucus.  Somebody finally brought to the forefront all that is wrong in our Government and why it is not functioning. During his campaign he emphasized the need for change and the Iowan’s eat it up.

The other Candidates were left standing with their eyes glazed over especially when he said that Washington is red and blue when it should be purple (implied).  He said that the Political Parties are being run by the big money corporate lobbyist and other big money groups.  He basically wants to see a shift from a forty year stagnated “paradigm”.

Lets face it it’s not the country that’s bad it’s the way the Government is running it.  The other Candidates, of both parties, then started redefining their Campaigns and the word “change” is now in every one of the speeches.

Listening to the speeches and the Fox News Forums, in New Hampshire, it was evident that the others were still confused as to what he meant and Obama himself I think is now confused and started to take on of the interoperations of some of the others.

I know that Obama meant at the time of his speech was that he wants to bring the Government back together and get the peoples work done.  It was unfortunate by the end of the speech he wanted the change to be Socialism through massive taxation on corporations, and in fact the other Democrats picked up on this and started openly saying how they were going to tax the people and their profits to fund their proposed entitlements. During his Campaign he said he would let the Bush tax cuts expire.  I know New Hampshire is not a tax loving state which surprises me that he is doing so well in the polls there. As it turned out all the polls were wrong. They had him a 10 point winner, he came in second 3 points less than Hillary.    

Obama said “I'll be a President who finally makes health care affordable and available to every single American the same way I expanded health care in Illinois – by bringing Democrats and Republicans together to get the job done” He said, “I'll be a President who ends the tax breaks for companies that ship our jobs overseas and put a middle-class tax cut into the pockets of the working Americans who deserve it”.

Obama really only contrasted his Healthcare proposal, with the other Democrats, with his having a lot more non-government choices than the others.  I think he knew what was going to happen. The other Democrats were going to play “my dog is bigger than yours”. Well, when Hillary and Edwards redefined their speeches, in New Hampshire, and tried selling their vision of change, which were more Socialistic than Obama’s. They want everybody to be covered by the Government the same way the Congress is. That went over like a turd in a punch bowl and Hillary and Edward’s poll numbers went down 10 and 20 points respectively. It was a beautiful thing to watch, but the polls were wrong.

On the Republican side, Huckabee came across like he knew what the polls were trying to figure out.  Huckabee was talking to the choir in Iowa, and he did it well, because he was one of them. Mitt Romney just thought he new what the Iowa voters wanted to hear which was similar to Obama. But he was speaking to a State full of Baptist Christian voters who still think the same things about the Mormons that their Great Grandfathers thought  After Huckabee’s win in Iowa I think his campaign should have taken on a different dimension.  Huckabee’s win in Iowa was an anomaly that the Born-Again Christians just couldn’t pass up. That proved to be true in NH where he was speaking like all the voters were Born-Again, but only a small portion of them were. The pollsters knew what Huckabee didn’t and he took home the Bronze.

McCain was competitive in 2000 in NH and decided not to pay to much attention to Iowa.  He knew how to talk to the NH voters even when all the polls had him getting creamed by about 7 percentage points by Romney, who came in second in Iowa. I think Mitt thought he had NH all to himself, but the polls were wrong.  McCain won by 3 percentage points and Mitt took the Silver again.

Now that the pollsters can’t be trusted I wonder how the news media is going to react here in South Carolina (SC).   I also want to see how the Candidates are going to play for us with no polls to trust. SC has a more diverse population now that they did in 2000.  We have a lot more retirees from the North, an influx of young people who live here now, working and attending our many collages, a large population of black and white bible toting Christians, a large population of retired and active Military, and not many large corporations.  I think Wallmart is our largest employer, and Hillary wants a piece of their profits.

I believe the four top Candidates will be the same as the final out come in NH, but I think the Democrat front runners will be reversed.  On the Republican side I think Romney will be third with McCain coming in first and Huckabee second. I also think Edwards, Rudy, and Fred will not be a factor here, could be wrong, but this should be very interesting.